Athletic Fregenal vs Hernando De Soto A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UDF
3 - 2
ATH
61%
19%
20%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 2
SPR
29%
21%
50%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RHI
2 - 1
ATH
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 1
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hernando De Soto A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
SEG
45%
22%
33%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BIE
2 - 2
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 3
VIL
41%
22%
37%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDB
5 - 3
HER
41%
21%
38%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
ACE
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |