Athletic Fregenal vs Bienvenida A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
5 - 0
ATH
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATH
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
ACE
68%
17%
14%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 0
ATH
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bienvenida A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BIE
4 - 1
VIL
54%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ACE
1 - 1
BIE
27%
22%
50%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BIE
4 - 2
SPR
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BIE
0 - 1
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDP
1 - 3
BIE
37%
23%
41%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |