Europa League Playoffs. 1/16
Global 4-3
Athletic vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 3
ATH
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 0
UDL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 0
ATH
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 1
EIB
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 3
ATH
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 1
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
HEB
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
CSK
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 3
AST
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |