Athletic vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
OSA
1 - 1
ATH
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 1
MLL
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 3
ATH
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 3
FCB
21%
25%
55%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 0
VCF
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 0
RAC
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 2
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
OSA
0 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 1
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |