Athletic vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATH
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 2
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 2
ELC
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 4
ATH
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
LEV
3 - 2
MAL
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 1
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 0
LEV
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |