Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
OSA
1 - 2
ATH
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
19%
20%
61%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATH
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 0
MAL
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATH
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 1
BET
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EIB
1 - 1
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
4 - 3
UDL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
ESP
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 2
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |