Copa del Rey . Final

Athletic vs Barcelona analysis

Athletic Barcelona
87 ELO 93
-13% Tilt -1%
37º General ELO ranking 10º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.8%
Athletic
19.4%
Draw
66.8%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
Athletic
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.8%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Athletic
Barcelona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athletic
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
ATH
Athletic
0 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
60%
23%
17%
87 80 7 0
07 Apr. 2021
RSO
Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Athletic
ATH
54%
23%
23%
87 89 2 0
03 Apr. 2021
ATH
Athletic
0 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
36%
26%
38%
87 89 2 0
20 Mar. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Eibar
EIB
52%
25%
23%
88 84 4 -1
14 Mar. 2021
CEL
Celta
0 - 0
Athletic
ATH
31%
25%
44%
88 84 4 0

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
43%
23%
34%
94 93 1 0
05 Apr. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
88%
9%
3%
94 82 12 0
21 Mar. 2021
RSO
Real Sociedad
1 - 6
Barcelona
FCB
24%
23%
54%
94 89 5 0
15 Mar. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Huesca
HUE
88%
9%
3%
93 78 15 +1
10 Mar. 2021
PSG
PSG
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
31%
23%
46%
93 90 3 0
X