Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
SDF
1 - 1
ATH
8%
19%
74%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LEG
1 - 0
ATH
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
OST
2 - 2
ATH
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 0
SEV
43%
25%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
ATH
13%
24%
63%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 3
FCB
3%
10%
86%
|
96 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAL
95%
4%
1%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 1
OLP
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
25%
23%
51%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 0
UDL
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | -1 |