Athletic vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 2
RAY
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
19%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 0
MLL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATM
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 2
OSA
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 2
ALA
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
3 - 0
ALA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |