Bilbao Ath. vs Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
LOG
2 - 2
ATH
30%
29%
40%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1978 |
CDG
1 - 2
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 0
CAU
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
MIR
2 - 1
ATH
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAU
0 - 2
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CLH
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ZAM
3 - 1
UPL
39%
31%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
0 - 1
ZAM
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ZAM
2 - 0
HUE
44%
31%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GUA
2 - 1
ZAM
40%
31%
29%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |