Bilbao Ath. vs Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 1
ATH
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
LLE
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SDA
2 - 0
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 1
SES
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATH
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
ZAR
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SDL
1 - 0
RAC
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 1
RAC
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
LLE
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SDA
2 - 1
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |