Bilbao Ath. vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 1
EIB
10%
19%
71%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
SSR
2 - 0
ATH
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 1
RAC
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RCF
1 - 1
ATH
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 3
CLH
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SDL
1 - 1
MIR
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
FUE
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GIR
2 - 0
MIR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MIR
4 - 0
IBI
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
MIR
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |