Atalanta vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
FCC
0 - 0
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ATL
3 - 2
RIM
68%
18%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SAM
4 - 2
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 3
GEN
53%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 1
FIO
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VER
4 - 3
TOR
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 3
PAL
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | -1 |