Atalanta vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
ATL
3 - 1
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ATL
4 - 0
LAQ
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
BIE
1 - 2
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
TRI
0 - 1
SPA
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 0
JUV
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
REG
5 - 2
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
SPA
6 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |