Coppa Italia . Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 3
TOR
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 2
LAZ
63%
20%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 3
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 1
NAP
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
39%
24%
38%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
4 - 2
SPE
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VER
3 - 1
NAP
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |