Coppa Italia . Quarter-finals

Atalanta vs Lazio analysis

Atalanta Lazio
89 ELO 87
23.5% Tilt 16.1%
33º General ELO ranking 40º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63%
Atalanta
19.5%
Draw
17.5%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
Atalanta
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.5%
Win probability
Lazio
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

Atalanta
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2021
ACM
Milan
0 - 3
Atalanta
ATL
46%
23%
31%
89 89 0 0
20 Jan. 2021
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
13%
19%
68%
89 77 12 0
17 Jan. 2021
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
83%
12%
6%
89 76 13 0
14 Jan. 2021
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
84%
11%
5%
89 75 14 0
09 Jan. 2021
BEN
Benevento
1 - 4
Atalanta
ATL
16%
20%
65%
88 76 12 +1

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
65%
20%
16%
86 81 5 0
21 Jan. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
75%
15%
10%
86 74 12 0
15 Jan. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Roma
ROM
39%
23%
38%
86 87 1 0
10 Jan. 2021
PAR
Parma
0 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
20%
24%
57%
86 74 12 0
06 Jan. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
59%
21%
20%
85 83 2 +1
X