Atalanta vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
FIO
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 2
PIS
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 0
ASG
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 1
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |