Atalanta vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 4
ATL
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 1
SAS
72%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 2
ATL
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 2
BEN
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 4
NAP
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAG
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |