Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
ATL
18%
21%
61%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 1
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
7 - 1
USA
92%
6%
2%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WHU
2 - 0
ATL
28%
24%
48%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 2
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
4 - 5
TER
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
POR
2 - 4
BOL
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 0
BOL
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |