Coppa Italia Last 16

Atalanta vs Cesena analysis

Atalanta Cesena
98 ELO 81
31% Tilt 8.6%
General ELO ranking 407º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
93%
Atalanta
5.5%
Draw
1.5%
Cesena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.9%
Win probability
Atalanta
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.5%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.5%
Win probability
Cesena
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO progression

Atalanta
Cesena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
12%
19%
69%
98 87 11 0
10 Dec. 2024
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
41%
23%
37%
98 99 1 0
06 Dec. 2024
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Milan
ACM
57%
21%
22%
98 97 1 0
02 Dec. 2024
ROM
Roma
0 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
28%
25%
47%
98 95 3 0
26 Nov. 2024
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 6
Atalanta
ATL
12%
19%
70%
98 84 14 0

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Cosenza
NUO
56%
24%
20%
81 79 2 0
07 Dec. 2024
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
46%
25%
28%
81 81 0 0
01 Dec. 2024
FRO
Frosinone
3 - 2
Cesena
CES
61%
21%
18%
81 86 5 0
23 Nov. 2024
CES
Cesena
1 - 1
Reggiana
REG
61%
22%
17%
81 76 5 0
10 Nov. 2024
CTT
Cittadella
0 - 2
Cesena
CES
35%
27%
38%
80 77 3 +1