Atlético B vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
CFP
2 - 2
ATB
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
CDT
5 - 2
ATB
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
SLA
3 - 1
ATB
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
ATB
2 - 1
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
AND
1 - 0
ATB
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
PUL
4 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PUL
0 - 1
OBE
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
RUN
4 - 1
PUL
40%
31%
29%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
PUL
2 - 1
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 1
PUL
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |