Macastre vs Loriguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHI
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
5 - 0
SAN
52%
22%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GOD
0 - 1
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAM
20%
21%
59%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CLU
1 - 0
MAC
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 3
REQ
45%
22%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
LOR
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
5 - 3
CAU
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
CHI
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
LOR
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |