ASWH vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
KLO
1 - 1
ASW
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STE
2 - 4
ASW
27%
22%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ASW
1 - 1
NIE
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
XER
5 - 3
ASW
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ASW
5 - 2
HEI
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NIE
1 - 4
ZWA
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 3
ACH
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 2
SMI
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ZWA
3 - 4
STE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWA
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |