ASWH vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
KLO
1 - 1
ASW
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MON
3 - 0
ASW
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ASW
2 - 2
KOZ
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RVV
2 - 2
ASW
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
XER
2 - 4
ASW
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ZWA
2 - 1
DTS
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ZWA
0 - 0
KOZ
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RVV
1 - 1
ZWA
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
XER
4 - 2
ZWA
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ZWA
1 - 1
HEE
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |