ASWH vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASW
3 - 2
ALM
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 1
ASW
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASW
4 - 1
CAP
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RIJ
1 - 2
ASW
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ASW
2 - 2
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
JOD
3 - 0
HOE
59%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 3
HOE
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HOE
2 - 0
RVV
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DFS
1 - 0
HOE
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HOE
1 - 5
ARG
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |