Schrems vs Kilb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
2 - 0
LAN
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
SCO
2 - 4
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 0
SVR
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPR
1 - 0
ASV
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 5
ARD
33%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SCH
3 - 0
SCU
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SCR
4 - 0
SCU
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
STP
3 - 2
SCU
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SCU
2 - 2
KOT
20%
21%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
KRE
2 - 0
SCU
79%
12%
8%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |