Astur vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 2
AST
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AST
2 - 0
MAD
63%
20%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAL
0 - 0
AST
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AST
1 - 1
MAD
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 2
TUR
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 3
UCO
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 2
NAL
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |