Astur vs EI San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 1
AST
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
AST
49%
25%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
CAN
51%
25%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 2
AST
32%
27%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 2
ROC
49%
26%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 0
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 0
ESM
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
BER
53%
24%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 0
ESM
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |