Astur vs TSK Roces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
4 - 1
AST
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
TUR
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COM
3 - 2
AST
32%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
PCF
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TIN
0 - 3
AST
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
TSK Roces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
LLA
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 0
VAL
52%
23%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 2
ROC
35%
25%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 0
TUR
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ROC
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |