Aston Villa Sub 21 vs West Bromwich Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
5º
35
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STC
3 - 3
AVI
25%
23%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
AVI
61%
20%
20%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 2
LUS
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 4
AVI
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 3
MID
66%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
West Bromwich Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 1
DCO
75%
15%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 3
WBA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 1
WBA
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 1
NWC
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
EXE
4 - 0
WBA
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |