Aston Villa Sub 21 vs Stoke City Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
5º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
WBA
0 - 4
AVI
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 1
NOR
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 2
AVI
16%
17%
67%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
NOT
62%
18%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
STC
0 - 0
SLR
6%
14%
81%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
NOT
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
STC
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
STC
4 - 0
DCO
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
4 - 0
STC
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |