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Premier League. Matchday 7

Aston Villa Southampton
73 ELO 78
53% Tilt 57%
130º General ELO ranking 84º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.2%
Aston Villa
21.5%
Draw
33.3%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.3%
Win probability
Southampton
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Basic stats

56
44
POS
18
9
SOT
11
1
COR
3
4
GF
4
3
GC
18
14
FRK
73
78
ELO
2
1.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Aston Villa
Their league position
Southampton
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
11º
11º
43
20º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected probabilities
Aston Villa
Southampton