Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
ROT
1 - 3
ASV
37%
23%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASV
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
ASV
0 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 1
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
OPA
2 - 0
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
OPA
2 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |