Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
PNE
3 - 1
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
ASV
4 - 0
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
ASV
1 - 1
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
ASV
5 - 2
BRE
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
MUD
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
BPO
3 - 1
MUD
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
SHE
2 - 2
MUD
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
MUD
5 - 2
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |