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Premier League. Matchday 32

Aston Villa Man. City
75 ELO 98
17% Tilt 18%
133º General ELO ranking
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.6%
Aston Villa
17.5%
Draw
67.9%
Man. City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.9%
Win probability
Man. City
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aston Villa
+35%
-4%
Man. City

Basic stats

27
73
POS
8
13
SOT
1
11
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
9
13
FRK
75
98
ELO
1.1
2.5
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Aston Villa
Their league position
Man. City
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
11º
74
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
74
85
100%
Man. Utd
66
78
99%
Leicester
56
68
25%
Chelsea
55
65
17%
West Ham
55
66
24%
Liverpool
53
65
16%
Tottenham Hotspur
50
60
38%
Everton
49
58
16%
Arsenal
46
57
25%
Leeds United
10º
46
55
10º
22%
Aston Villa
11º
44
54
11º
20%
Wolves
12º
41
48
12º
27%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
13º
20%
Southampton
14º
36
44
14º
19%
Newcastle
15º
35
41
15º
20%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
34
40
16º
22%
Burnley
17º
33
39
17º
25%
Fulham
18º
27
31
18º
63%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
53%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
99%
Expected probabilities
Aston Villa
Man. City
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
1% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
99% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aston Villa
ASV
Man. City
MAC
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Leicester
LEI
PSG
PSG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
81%
12%
6%
2168 3488 1320 -2
04 Apr. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
55%
24%
21%
2155 1878 277 +13
12 Mar. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
46%
27%
27%
2155 2012 -143 0
06 Mar. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Wolves
WOL
47%
27%
26%
2155 2259 -104 -1
03 Mar. 2021
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
38%
28%
34%
2171 1693 -478 -16

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 2
Man. City
MAC
33%
28%
39%
3829 3064 -765 +21
10 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
80%
13%
7%
3843 1938 1905 -24
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
18%
10%
3834 3053 781 +14
03 Apr. 2021
LEI
Leicester
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
30%
26%
44%
3821 2749 -1072 +8
20 Mar. 2021
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
21%
24%
55%
3815 2449 -1366 +8