Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
HUL
2 - 0
ASV
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
5 - 0
ASV
77%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIV
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
CRY
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEI
79%
14%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 2
LEI
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
STO
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |