Premier League round 15

Aston Villa vs Hull City analysis

Aston Villa Hull City
88 ELO 78
-5.9% Tilt 10.2%
55º General ELO ranking 1278º
Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
65.4%
Aston Villa
21.1%
Draw
13.5%
Hull City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.4%
Win probability
Hull City
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aston Villa
+9%
+5%
Hull City

ELO progression

Aston Villa
Hull City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2009
OPA
Portsmouth
2 - 4
Aston Villa
ASV
37%
26%
37%
88 84 4 0
28 Nov. 2009
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
35%
26%
39%
88 90 2 0
21 Nov. 2009
BUR
Burnley
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
28%
25%
47%
88 79 9 0
07 Nov. 2009
ASV
Aston Villa
5 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
54%
25%
22%
88 85 3 0
04 Nov. 2009
WHU
West Ham
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
35%
26%
39%
88 84 4 0

Matches

Hull City
Hull City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2009
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 1
Hull City
HUL
70%
19%
12%
79 87 8 0
25 Nov. 2009
HUL
Hull City
3 - 2
Everton
EVE
30%
27%
43%
78 89 11 +1
21 Nov. 2009
HUL
Hull City
3 - 3
West Ham
WHU
39%
27%
34%
78 84 6 0
08 Nov. 2009
HUL
Hull City
2 - 1
Stoke City
STO
43%
26%
31%
78 81 3 0
31 Oct. 2009
BUR
Burnley
2 - 0
Hull City
HUL
52%
25%
24%
78 79 1 0