Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 2
ASV
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASV
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEI
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
12%
19%
70%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 2
ASV
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 2
CHL
13%
21%
66%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 0
CHL
14%
22%
65%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHL
3 - 2
LEE
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ZEN
3 - 3
CHL
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |