Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHE
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 0
ASV
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
9%
15%
76%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 0
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASV
2 - 3
TOT
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHL
4 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 2
CHL
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 3
BYM
18%
19%
63%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
53%
23%
24%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |