Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1958 |
LEI
6 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
LUT
3 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
ASV
5 - 2
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1958 |
SHW
2 - 3
CHL
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1958 |
CHL
0 - 2
PNE
48%
22%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
CHL
3 - 1
EVE
65%
18%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |