Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 1
CRY
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 2
LIV
9%
16%
75%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 3
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
NOR
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
ASV
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
TOT
1 - 0
BUR
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 3
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 2
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
WOL
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
51%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |