Aston Villa vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 2
ASV
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SHW
1 - 3
ASV
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ASV
3 - 0
MID
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
NTT
1 - 3
ASV
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
3 - 2
WBA
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 2
WIG
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
MID
0 - 1
BRI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SHE
2 - 3
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 1
IPS
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |