Aston Villa vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
WIG
1 - 2
ASV
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 3
ASV
18%
22%
59%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 1
SUN
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BBU
2 - 0
WBA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 0
BBU
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BBU
1 - 0
QPR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
BBU
3 - 1
LIV
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 0
BBU
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |