Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
SWA
2 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
ASV
4 - 0
STO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
WHU
2 - 0
ASV
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1983 |
WHU
1 - 3
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
ARS
0 - 1
SUN
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
MUD
39%
27%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 1
ARS
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |