Premier League . Jor. 28

Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth analysis

Aston Villa AFC Bournemouth
85 ELO 81
5% Tilt -1%
27º General ELO ranking 86º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
55.9%
Aston Villa
22.3%
Draw
21.8%
AFC Bournemouth

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Aston Villa
Their league position
AFC Bournemouth
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
19º
39
20º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
89
89
100%
Arsenal
84
84
100%
Manchester United
75
75
100%
Newcastle
71
71
100%
Liverpool
67
67
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
62
62
100%
Aston Villa
61
61
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
60
60
100%
Brentford
59
59
100%
Fulham
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Crystal Palace
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Chelsea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Wolves
13º
41
41
13º
100%
West Ham
14º
40
40
14º
100%
AFC Bournemouth
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Nottingham Forest
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Everton
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Leicester
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Leeds United
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Southampton
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
WHU
West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
52%
24%
24%
85 87 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
49%
25%
26%
84 85 1 +1
25 Feb. 2023
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
38%
26%
36%
85 83 2 -1
18 Feb. 2023
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 4
Arsenal
ARS
22%
24%
55%
85 92 7 0
12 Feb. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
87%
10%
4%
85 97 12 0

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
8%
16%
77%
80 94 14 0
04 Mar. 2023
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
77%
15%
8%
80 92 12 0
25 Feb. 2023
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 4
Manchester City
MAC
7%
17%
75%
81 96 15 -1
18 Feb. 2023
WOL
Wolves
0 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
47%
26%
27%
81 85 4 0
11 Feb. 2023
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
27%
26%
48%
81 88 7 0
X