Serie D round 21

Asti FC vs Derthona analysis

Asti FC Derthona
22 ELO 22
-14.6% Tilt 2.8%
38164º General ELO ranking 8833º
1205º Country ELO ranking 303º
ELO win probability
45%
Asti FC
25.1%
Draw
29.8%
Derthona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
Asti FC
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.8%
Win probability
Derthona
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Asti FC
Derthona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Asti FC
Asti FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2013
PRO
Imperia
0 - 2
Asti FC
AST
31%
24%
45%
21 17 4 0
13 Jan. 2013
AST
Asti FC
1 - 0
Borgosesia
BOR
23%
25%
53%
19 33 14 +2
06 Jan. 2013
SES
Sestri Levante
1 - 0
Asti FC
AST
55%
22%
23%
19 23 4 0
30 Dec. 2012
AST
Asti FC
0 - 1
Chiavari Caperana
CHI
34%
24%
41%
20 23 3 -1
22 Dec. 2012
GOZ
Gozzano
2 - 1
Asti FC
AST
63%
21%
16%
20 30 10 0

Matches

Derthona
Derthona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2013
DER
Derthona
1 - 5
Sestri Levante
SES
47%
24%
29%
24 22 2 0
06 Jan. 2013
PRO
Imperia
2 - 1
Derthona
DER
25%
25%
50%
25 15 10 -1
30 Dec. 2012
DER
Derthona
1 - 1
Borgosesia
BOR
31%
27%
42%
24 32 8 +1
22 Dec. 2012
CHI
Chiavari Caperana
0 - 0
Derthona
DER
49%
24%
27%
24 23 1 0
09 Dec. 2012
GOZ
Gozzano
2 - 0
Derthona
DER
54%
24%
22%
26 29 3 -2