Asti FC vs Chiavari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asti FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
LAV
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
AST
37%
25%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
CHI
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AST
1 - 0
BOR
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chiavari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOR
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRO
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 0
CHI
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
5 - 1
LAS
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |