Aster Brasil vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
73.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aster Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
VFC
1 - 0
ABF
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
GEL
0 - 5
EST
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
EST
1 - 4
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |