ASSU vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POT
1 - 4
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 2
ARN
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
POT
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
19%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |