ASSU vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CCP
2 - 1
ASS
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASS
42%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
ABC
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 0
COR
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
5 - 0
POT
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
POT
0 - 1
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POT
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 1
POT
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
COR
3 - 1
POT
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |